The Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth of Selected
ASEAN Countries
Volume 1, Issue 4
EI EI PHYOE
Published online: 05 December 2015
Article Views: 31
Abstract
This research examines the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth of selected ASEAN nations, namely Myanmar, Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia, over the study period from 1991 to 2013. In theoretical terms, the neoclassical growth and endogenous growth theories have been mainly applied to support this study. The different methods of Levin, Lin and Chu (LLC) (1992), Im, Pesaran and Shin (IPS) (1997), and Fisher-Type unit root tests were used to analyze our data set to determine whether they have a unit root or, if not, whether they are stationary. This resulted in some being stationary at the I(0) and some stationary at I(1). In addition, the Panel Granger Causality test was carried out and found that there is only one-way causality from Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to Foreign Direct Investment (FDI); the country’s economic prospects attract foreign direct investment inflows of the selected countries. Choosing the panel ARDL approach is proper for this study because it can analyze long-run and short-run dynamics even when the variables are a mix of stationary and non-stationary time series. Pooled Mean Group (PMG), Mean Group (MG) and traditional Dynamic Fixed-Effect Estimator (DFE) were used to forecast the short-run and long-run relationship between variables. As the PMG and DFE are efficient estimation methods according to the Hausman Test, we cannot conclude that foreign direct investment has a positive or negative impact on the economic growth in the long run as the results are not significant, but the FDI’s impact on GDP is positive in the short-run at the panel level. As the second of individual-level findings, FDI of Myanmar, Thailand, and Singapore has a favourable impact on the growth process of their economies except in Malaysia and Indonesia. Moreover, the trade openness impact is either positive or negative on GDP for Malaysia, while it shows negative in Myanmar. Furthermore, the effect of exchange is significantly negative on the economic performance of the country’s GDP of Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia.
References
Alfaro, L. (2003). Foreign direct investment and growth: Does the sector matter? Boston: Mimeo, Harvard Business School.
Barbieri, L. (2006). Panel unit root tests: A review. Serie Rossa: Economia-UCSC Piacenza, 43, 1-53.
Blackburne, E. F., & Frank, M. W. (2007). Estimation of nonstationary heterogeneous panels. Stata Journal, 7(2), 197-208.
Cho, K. C. (2007). A study on the foreign direct investment (FDI) And Economic Development (A Case Study of Myanmar) (Discussion Paper No. 149). Department of Development Studies, Yangon Institute of Economics, Myanmar.
Chung, L. C. W. (2014). The impact of horizontal and vertical FDI on host country’s economic growth: The case of the ASEAN member states (Master’s thesis). Department of Economics-International Economics, Erasmus School of Economics, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Demetriades, P., & Hook Law, S. (2006). Finance, institutions and economic development. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 11(3), 245. https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.296
Durnel, J. C. (2012). The effects of foreign direct investment on Turkish economy (Master thesis). Department of Economics, Lund University, Sweden.
Geijer, K. (2008). Foreign direct investment in Mexico: Possible effects on the economic growth (Master’s thesis). Department of Economics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Har, W. M., Teo, K. L., & Yee, K. M. (2008). FDI and economic growth relationship: An empirical study on Malaysia. International Business Research, 1(2), 11-18.
Hlouskova, J., & M. Wagner (2005). The performance of panel unit root and stationary tests: Results from a large scale simulation study (Working Paper No. 2005/5). Department of Economics, European University Institute, Italy.
Hoang, N. T., & R. F. Mcnown (2006). Panel data unit roots tests using various estimation methods (Working Paper). Department of Economics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado.
Htwe, M. M. (2007). A Study on interrelationship between FDI and human resourse capacity in ASEAN-4 (Thesis). Department of Public Administration, Yangon Institute of Economics, Myanmar.
Hurlin, C., & Mignon, V. (2004). Second generation panel unit root tests (Unpublished Work). University of Paris, France.
Ickes, B. W. (1996). Endogenous growth models. Department of Economics, Penn State University.
Ismail, N. W., Smith, P., & Kugler, M. (2009). The effect of ASEAN economic integration on foreign direct investment. Journal of Economic Integration, 24(3), 385-407. https://dx.doi.org/10.11130/jei.2009.24.3.385
Khine, T. (2008). Foreign direct investment relations between Myanmar and ASEAN (Discussion Paper No. 149). Institute of Developing Economies Japan Trade External Organization, Japan.
Kotrajaras, P. (2010). Foreign direct investment and economic growth: A comparative study among East Asian countries. Applied Economics Journal, 17(2), 12-26.
Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1-24. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00098-7
Maddala, G. S., & Wu, S. (1999). A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61(S1), 631-652. https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.61.s1.13
Mathiyazhagan, D. M. K. (2005). Impact of foreign direct investment on India economy: A sectoral level analysis (Working Paper No. 23). Institute of South Asia Studies (ISAS), Singapur.
Menamo, M. D. (2014). Impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth of Ethiopia (Master’s thesis). Department of Economics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Myint, K. M. (2012). Foreign direct investment in Myanmar (Master thesis). Yangon Institute of Economics, Myanmar.
Parker, J. (2012). Theories of endogenous growth. Economics 314. Coursebook: 25.
Pesaran, M. H., & Smith, R. (1995). Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 79-113. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01644-F
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. P. (1997). Pooled estimation of long-run relationships in dynamic heterogeneous panels. University of Cambridge, UK. PMid:9207142 PMCid:PMC23872
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. P. (1999). Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446), 621-634. https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1999.10474156
Pradhan, R. P. P. (2009). The FDI-led-growth hypothesis in ASEAN-5 countries: Evidence from cointegrated panel analysis. International Journal of Business and Management, 4(12), 153-163. https://dx.doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v4n12p153
Puapan, P. (2014). Assessment of FDI Impact on Thailand’s production sectors: Implications for investment promotion activities (Discussion Paper No. 443).
Rafindadi, A. A., & Yosuf, Z. (2013). An application of panel ARDL in analysing the dyanmics of financial development and economic growth in 38 sub-saharan African continents. Paper Presented at the Kuala Lumpur International Business, Economics and Law Conference, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. PMid:24005589
Ramirez, M. D., & Tretter, B. (2013). The effect of Myanmar’s foreign investment policies on FDI inflows: An analysis of panel data across ASEAN member countries. International Journal of Accounting and Economics Studies, 1(3), 84-99. https://dx.doi.org/10.14419/ijaes.v1i3.1268
Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 71-102. https://dx.doi.org/10.1086/261725
Roy, S., & Mandal, K. K. (2012). Foreign direct investment and economic growth: An analysis for selected Asian countries. Journal of Business Studies Quarterly, 4(1), 15-24.
Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65-94. https://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1884513
Yanikkaya, H. (2003). Trade openness and economic growth: a cross-country empirical investigation. Journal of Development Economics, 72(1), 57-89. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3878(03)00068-3
To Cite this article
Phyoe, E. E. (2015). The Relationship between foreign Direct investment and economic growth of selected ASEAN Countries. International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, 1(4), 132-146.